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XG postcrawford book moves

Posted By: Tommy Nesbakk
Date: Tuesday, 2 March 2010, at 1:46 p.m.

XGs 15 book move for post crawford 2away is displayed below. I have a problem understanding how it chooses 15$ over 15S as it evalutes it to win fewer games. For reference, on dmp it chooses 15S over 15$ (posted at the bottom)

XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:-1:51:3:4:0:5:10

X:nortyno O:Arxontas Score is X:3 O:4 5 pt(s) match. +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+ | X O | | O X | | X O | | O X | | X O | | O | | X | | O | | X | | O | | |BAR| | | O | | X | | O | | X | | O X | | X | | O X | | X O | | O X | | X O | +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+ Pipcount X: 167 O: 167 X-O: 3-4/5 Cube : 1 O to play 51

1. Book 13/8 6/5 eq:-0,897

Player : 49,62% (G:13,22% B:0,65%)

Opponent: 50,38% (G:13,33% B:0,68%)

2. Book 24/23 13/8 eq:-0,903 (-0,006)

Player : 50,42% (G:13,15% B:0,59%)

Opponent: 49,58% (G:12,79% B:0,49%)

3. Book 24/18 eq:-0,916 (-0,018)

Player : 49,99% (G:11,75% B:0,58%)

Opponent: 50,01% (G:13,71% B:0,49%)

4. Book 13/7 eq:-0,945 (-0,047)

Player : 47,89% (G:12,86% B:0,62%)

Opponent: 52,11% (G:14,15% B:0,74%)

5. XG Roller+ 24/23 8/3 eq:-1,000 (-0,103)

Player : 46,03% (G:12,07% B:0,53%)

Opponent: 53,97% (G:15,05% B:0,73%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: eXtremeGammon

------------------------------------------------------------------------- XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:-1:51:4:4:0:5:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2 Score is X:4 O:4 5 pt(s) match. +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+ | X O | | O X | | X O | | O X | | X O | | O | | X | | O | | X | | O | | |BAR| | | O | | X | | O | | X | | O X | | X | | O X | | X O | | O X | | X O | +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+ Pipcount X: 167 O: 167 X-O: 4-4/5 Cube : 1 O to play 51

1. Book 24/23 13/8 eq:+0,006

Player : 50,32% (G:12,75% B:0,53%)

Opponent: 49,68% (G:12,41% B:0,47%)

2. Book 13/8 6/5 eq:-0,006 (-0,012)

Player : 49,71% (G:13,01% B:0,57%)

Opponent: 50,29% (G:13,04% B:0,67%)

3. Book 24/18 eq:-0,008 (-0,014)

Player : 49,60% (G:11,36% B:0,53%)

Opponent: 50,40% (G:13,17% B:0,49%)

4. Book 13/7 eq:-0,040 (-0,046)

Player : 48,01% (G:12,88% B:0,55%)

Opponent: 51,99% (G:13,66% B:0,71%)

5. 3 ply 24/23 8/3 eq:-0,085 (-0,091)

Player : 45,77% (G:11,91% B:0,53%)

Opponent: 54,23% (G:15,25% B:0,74%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: eXtremeGammon

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