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1296 XG Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 15 March 2010, at 1:07 p.m.

In Response To: 1296 XG Rollout (Paul Weaver)

I didn't check the forums before I replied to your email or I'd have posted the rollout for you. Thought you were just sharing the rollout with me because I said I'd have passed. As I told Paul in the email I didn't care what the money action was because I only thought of it as he presented it, as a match problem. We all agree with him in general that as a reference position straight up money is better than weird away numbers.

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 164 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 177 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=c---BBB----BcBA--bAcbAbB--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	67.44% (G: 25.36% B: 1.82%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	32.56% (G: 10.65% B: 0.78%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	67.68% (G: 25.28% B: 2.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	32.32% (G: 10.72% B: 0.85%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.349
Double:	+1.021
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.771
Double/Take:	+0.764 (-0.007)
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.229)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.031 (+0.740...+0.802)
Confidence Double:	± 0.036 (+0.728...+0.800)
Double Decision confidence:	61.6%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 43 minutes

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