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AtS Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 15 March 2010, at 10:04 p.m.

In Response To: Peever vs Kenji Cube Action (Paul Weaver)

Still a lot of variance left and given Richard's post about his aborted rollout earlier I expect the TP decision to get a lot closer to a drop.





is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 164
13 point match
pip: 177
score: 2

is Player 1
XGID=c---BBB----BcBA--bAcbAbB--:0:0:1:00:2:6:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 66.85% (G: 25.52% B: 1.65%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.15% (G: 11.07% B: 1.06%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.70% (G: 25.87% B: 1.88%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.30% (G: 11.34% B: 1.16%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.475
Double:+1.107
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.849 (-0.109)
Double/Take:+0.958
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.042)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.025 (+0.824...+0.873)
Confidence Double: ± 0.030 (+0.927...+0.988)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 99.7%
Duration: 4 hours 02 minutes

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