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AtS Rollout - a bit closer

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Tuesday, 16 March 2010, at 4:37 a.m.

In Response To: AtS Rollout (Stick)

Not going to bother extending this.

is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 164
13 point match
pip: 177
score: 2

is Player 1
XGID=c---BBB----BcBA--bAcbAbB--:0:0:1:00:2:6:0:13:16
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 66.84% (G: 25.68% B: 1.66%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.16% (G: 11.01% B: 0.98%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.59% (G: 25.92% B: 1.87%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.41% (G: 11.31% B: 1.23%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.491
Double:+1.103
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.880 (-0.119)
Double/Take:+0.999
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.001)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
3219 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.014 (+0.866...+0.895)
Confidence Double: ± 0.018 (+0.981...+1.018)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 53.4%
Duration: 5 hours 56 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: GnuBG 11 point

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