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Play preference/ Rollout ?

Posted By: Seth
Date: Tuesday, 30 March 2010, at 8:07 p.m.

Which play do you prefer ,and, why?; Try to respond before reading rollout. Is rollout meaningful?

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, sethmoney 0

Move number 14: sethmoney to play 22

gnubg134


2X ' ' '2X3X2X2X ' ' '2O

2X '2O ' '5O '3O '1O '2X

sethmoney146

Position ID: w26DATCMz4kBYA Match ID: UQkJAAAAAAAA

• sethmoney moves bar/21(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0.784
0.290 0.089 0.004 - 0.710 0.437 0.021
Cubeful equities:
1.No double -0.685
2.Double, pass +1.000 +1.685
3.Double, take -1.970 -1.285
Proper cube action:No redouble, beaver (43.3%)

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0.814)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/23(2) 6/4(2) +0.201
0.4930.1600.008-0.5070.1410.007 +0.006 +0.201
0.0040.0030.001-0.0040.0030.001 0.011 0.022
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 848497525 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R bar/21(2) +0.190 ( -0.011)
0.4800.1340.004-0.5200.1140.002 -0.018 +0.190
0.0040.0030.000-0.0040.0030.001 0.009 0.016
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 848497525 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 0 bar/23(2) 13/11(2) -0.156 ( -0.356)
0.387 0.111 0.004 - 0.613 0.169 0.007
4 0 bar/23(2) 10/6 -0.197 ( -0.398)
0.372 0.099 0.003 - 0.628 0.164 0.006
5 0 bar/23(2) 10/8 6/4 -0.213 ( -0.414)
0.377 0.104 0.003 - 0.623 0.194 0.010

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