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Stick vs Gus #1

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Thursday, 8 April 2010, at 12:02 p.m.

In Response To: Stick vs Gus #1 (Petter Bengtsson)

What surprised me here was the big difference between the pretty 11/6 8/7 (Stick's OTB play) and the ugly 11/5.

If you, like Chase did, look at all upcoming rolls for the three alternatives you will see that the ugly play has more good rolls. But, is that a practical thing to do OTB?

I'm sure I would have played either 11/6 8/7 or 8/2 if I had this decision.





is Gus

score: 2
pip: 100
11 point match
pip: 117
score: 0

is Stick
XGID=--A-aBBBCB-AbB-a---bbcac--:1:-1:1:51:0:2:0:11:10
Stick to play 51

1.Rollout18/2eq: -0,079
Player:
Opponent:
53,44% (G:5,52% B:0,23%)
46,56% (G:8,15% B:0,20%)
Conf: ± 0,006 (-0,085...-0,073)
Duration: 54 minutes 01 second
2.Rollout111/5eq: -0,083 (-0,004)
Player:
Opponent:
53,41% (G:4,80% B:0,23%)
46,59% (G:7,00% B:0,15%)
Conf: ± 0,006 (-0,089...-0,077)
Duration: 45 minutes 02 seconds
3.Rollout111/6 8/7eq: -0,128 (-0,049)
Player:
Opponent:
51,58% (G:4,57% B:0,22%)
48,42% (G:6,62% B:0,17%)
Conf: ± 0,006 (-0,134...-0,122)
Duration: 45 minutes 02 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: Random
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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