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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 27 April 2010, at 1:01 p.m.

In Response To: Endgame play from Kit's OLM (Stick)

Wouldn't it be even easier if Black has to play any immediate ace and you get that immediate shot at it? Hmmm...wonder if there's a play that allows that to happen.

Stick

The rollout agrees with Stick that it is best to try to force an immediate shot right away. The issues with putting a blot on the ace point in this type of position and when a G or even BG loss don't matter (the occasional accident can happen) are overrated. More interesting would be a RO for money (owning the cube of course). A 3 ply RO is also very clear at this score and quickly agrees.

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 37 1 point match pip: 105 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=--aBBBCBBA-------------gA-:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:1:10
to play 54

1.	Rollout1	9/5 6/1	eq: +0.327
	Player: Opponent: 66.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 33.66% (G:4.34% B:0.57%) Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.325...+0.329) Duration: 9 minutes 32 seconds
2.	Rollout1	9/4 6/2*	eq: +0.313 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 65.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 34.35% (G:2.17% B:0.25%) Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.311...+0.315) Duration: 7 minutes 04 seconds
3.	Rollout1	24/19 6/2*	eq: +0.303 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 65.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 34.87% (G:2.48% B:0.25%) Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.301...+0.305) Duration: 6 minutes 56 seconds
4.	Rollout1	24/19 9/5	eq: +0.297 (-0.030)
	Player: Opponent: 64.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 35.14% (G:3.23% B:0.34%) Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.295...+0.299) Duration: 6 minutes 33 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 87427665 Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Endgame play from Kit's OLM
  neilkaz -- Monday, 26 April 2010, at 12:28 p.m.
  • Endgame play from Kit's OLM
    Ian Shaw -- Monday, 26 April 2010, at 1:19 p.m.
  • Endgame play from Kit's OLM
    Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 26 April 2010, at 1:38 p.m.
    • Endgame play from Kit's OLM - typo's correction
      Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 26 April 2010, at 1:50 p.m.
  • Endgame play from Kit's OLM
    Petter Bengtsson -- Monday, 26 April 2010, at 1:44 p.m.
  • Endgame play from Kit's OLM
    Martin -- Monday, 26 April 2010, at 9:08 p.m.
    • Endgame play from Kit's OLM
      Stick -- Monday, 26 April 2010, at 9:18 p.m.
      • Endgame play from Kit's OLM
        Martin -- Monday, 26 April 2010, at 9:35 p.m.
      • Rollout
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 27 April 2010, at 1:01 p.m.
        • Rollout for money
          neilkaz -- Tuesday, 27 April 2010, at 2:12 p.m.
          • Reference cube for money
            neilkaz -- Tuesday, 27 April 2010, at 4:30 p.m.