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early 21 to play RO

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Monday, 3 May 2010, at 3:55 a.m.

In Response To: early 21 to play (Bob Koca)

13/11 6/5 as the three expected. I thought 24/22 6/5 would be closer.

XGID=-b----E-Ca--dE---c-e----B-:0:0:-1:12:0:0:3:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2 Score is X:0 O:0. Money session, Jacoby Beaver +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ | X O | | O X | | X O | | O X | | O | | O X | | O | | X | | O | | X | | |BAR| | | X | | | | X | | O | | X | | X O | | O X | | X O | | O X | | X O O | +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ Pipcount X: 167 O: 170 X-O: 0-0 Cube : 1 O to play 12

1. Rollout¹ 13/11 6/5 eq:-0.048

Player : 49.52% (G:13.97% B:0.77%)

Opponent: 50.48% (G:16.28% B:1.41%)

Confidence: ± 0.018 (-0.066Duration: 4 hours 27 minutes

2. Rollout¹ 24/22 6/5 eq:-0.089 (-0.041)

Player : 48.22% (G:12.73% B:0.68%)

Opponent: 51.78% (G:16.53% B:1.21%)

Confidence: ± 0.018 (-0.107Duration: 4 hours 57 minutes

3. Rollout¹ 24/23 13/11 eq:-0.090 (-0.042)

Player : 48.08% (G:13.21% B:0.76%)

Opponent: 51.92% (G:15.38% B:1.02%)

Confidence: ± 0.017 (-0.107Duration: 4 hours 12 minutes

4. Rollout² 24/21 eq:-0.104 (-0.056)

Player : 47.63% (G:12.58% B:0.70%)

Opponent: 52.37% (G:15.39% B:0.90%)

Confidence: ± 0.021 (-0.125Duration: 2 hours 24 minutes

5. Rollout² 16/15 13/11 eq:-0.120 (-0.073)

Player : 47.25% (G:13.30% B:0.77%)

Opponent: 52.75% (G:16.41% B:1.16%)

Confidence: ± 0.023 (-0.143Duration: 2 hours 32 minutes

6. Rollout³ 16/13 eq:-0.128 (-0.081)

Player : 47.49% (G:12.82% B:0.68%)

Opponent: 52.51% (G:15.15% B:0.98%)

Confidence: ± 0.023 (-0.151Duration: 2 hours 06 minutes

7. Rollout4 24/22 16/15 eq:-0.135 (-0.088)

Player : 46.95% (G:11.87% B:0.66%)

Opponent: 53.05% (G:14.99% B:0.82%)

Confidence: ± 0.030 (-0.165Duration: 52 minutes 03 seconds

8. Rollout4 16/15 6/4 eq:-0.136 (-0.088)

Player : 47.24% (G:12.55% B:0.68%)

Opponent: 52.76% (G:15.99% B:1.30%)

Confidence: ± 0.034 (-0.170Duration: 58 minutes 43 seconds

9. Rollout4 24/23 24/22 eq:-0.136 (-0.089)

Player : 47.82% (G:11.96% B:0.70%)

Opponent: 52.18% (G:15.84% B:0.91%)

Confidence: ± 0.029 (-0.165Duration: 52 minutes 53 seconds

10. Rollout5 13/10 eq:-0.151 (-0.104)

Player : 46.91% (G:13.30% B:0.70%)

Opponent: 53.09% (G:16.15% B:1.21%)

Confidence: ± 0.031 (-0.182Duration: 52 minutes 45 seconds

¹ 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 53601087 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

² 1239 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 53601087 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

³ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 53601087 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

4 670 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 53601087 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

5 669 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 53601087 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14

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