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Wastage in the one-checker model

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Wednesday, 5 May 2010, at 12:41 p.m.

In Response To: Wastage in the one-checker model (Fabrice Liardet)

- No, V is second order variance (average of the squares of deviations)

- Have you read the Trice? It's a bit hard to explain, and my path to confirming Sam's 33/7 included some handwaving (as the article does, but in my case the handwaving is due to lack of understanding, in Trice's probably not). Here's a bit from the article that might help: In a very long, one sided N-Roll bearoff, what's the probability that your last checker is born off with a roll of doubles?

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(It's 2/7, and Zare's elegant explanation which is quoted in the article is that that's due to the fact that ~2/7 of ALL checkers tend to be born off by doubles.)

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