[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Cube action from Cyprus

Posted By: Christian Plenz
Date: Monday, 10 May 2010, at 1:48 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action from Cyprus (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Hi, I think cause of the huge lead there is not a big change in practice MWC between equal and +100ELO for example. And the trailer first has to be lucky in the later match (after 12-5) to throw away more net WMC according to skill difference. When you start a 8pt match with 100ELO difference according to Trice/Jacobs and XG ELO calculation the favourite has 58%. So lets say 8% net in a complete long match is the expectation - but with just 1 to go... 2nd point is that there is virtually no more cubeaction.

Allright I have checked the unequal 100ELO table and it says 5.1% or ca. 1.5% less than with equal Opps for 8a-1a.

The Doubling window would be 94-95% even more tiny :)

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.