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BGonline.org Forums
Cube action from Cyprus
Posted By: Christian Plenz In Response To: Cube action from Cyprus (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Monday, 10 May 2010, at 1:48 a.m.
Hi, I think cause of the huge lead there is not a big change in practice MWC between equal and +100ELO for example. And the trailer first has to be lucky in the later match (after 12-5) to throw away more net WMC according to skill difference. When you start a 8pt match with 100ELO difference according to Trice/Jacobs and XG ELO calculation the favourite has 58%. So lets say 8% net in a complete long match is the expectation - but with just 1 to go... 2nd point is that there is virtually no more cubeaction.
Allright I have checked the unequal 100ELO table and it says 5.1% or ca. 1.5% less than with equal Opps for 8a-1a.
The Doubling window would be 94-95% even more tiny :)
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