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Too good?

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Monday, 10 May 2010, at 2:50 p.m.

In Response To: Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc. (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I'm not TG here as I rarely win a G...

Is 4% rarely?

My XG 4-ply rollout says TG/pass.

	is Player 2 score: 5 pip: 42 13 point match pip: 104 score: 10 is Player 1
XGID=---aBBBCBCA------------fh-:1:1:1:00:10:5:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	93,54% (G: 4,25% B: 0,13%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	6,46% (G: 0,23% B: 0,00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	94,12% (G: 4,39% B: 0,08%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	5,88% (G: 0,31% B: 0,00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0,894
Redouble:	+1,369
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+1,014
Redouble/Take:	+1,081 (+0,067)
Redouble/Drop:	+1,000 (-0,014)
Best Cube action: Too Good to Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36095669 Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply Search interval: Huge
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0,003 (+1,011...+1,017)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0,005 (+1,075...+1,086)
Double Decision confidence:	100,0%
Take Decision confidence:	100,0%
Duration: 1 hour 48 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action from Cyprus
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 2:29 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Bill Riles -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 3:06 a.m.
    • Cube action from Cyprus
      Bill Riles -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 3:30 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    mikeg -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 3:09 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 3:40 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:07 a.m.
    • Cube action from Cyprus
      Bob Koca -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:18 a.m.
    • Cube action from Cyprus
      Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:43 a.m.
      • Cube action from Cyprus
        neilkaz -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:46 a.m.
        • Cube action from Cyprus
          Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:50 a.m.
          • Cube action from Cyprus
            Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:06 p.m.
            • Cube action from Cyprus
              Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 5:16 p.m.
              • Cube action from Cyprus
                neilkaz -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 5:48 p.m.
              • Cube action from Cyprus
                Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 6:15 p.m.
              • Cube action from Cyprus
                Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:50 p.m.
                • Cube action from Cyprus
                  Bob Koca -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 8:08 p.m.
  • SM RO
    Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:22 a.m.
    • SM RO
      John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 9:29 p.m.
    • SM RO - As bad as it gets
      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 9:39 p.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:23 a.m.
    • Cube action from Cyprus
      Leonardo Jerkovic -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:29 a.m.
      • Cube action from Cyprus
        Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:32 a.m.
      • Cube action from Cyprus
        Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:35 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:55 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 11:45 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Keene -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 10:55 p.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Christian Plenz -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 1:48 a.m.
  • Some Actual Rollouts
    Stick -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 7:49 a.m.
  • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 2:16 p.m.
    • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
      Rich Munitz -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 2:34 p.m.
      • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
        Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 3:05 p.m.
        • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
          Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 8:36 a.m.
          • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
            Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 8:15 p.m.
    • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
      christian munk-christensen -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 2:49 p.m.
      • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 3:26 p.m.
    • Too good?
      Petter Bengtsson -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 2:50 p.m.
    • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
      Gregg Cattanach -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 7:06 p.m.
      • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
        Timothy Chow -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 8:30 p.m.
        • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
          Stick -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 8:54 p.m.
          • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
            Timothy Chow -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 9:47 p.m.
          • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 12:30 a.m.
            • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
              Keene -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 4:56 a.m.
              • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 2:47 p.m.
    • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 7:38 p.m.
      • Agreed *NM*
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 2:52 p.m.