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Got Variance?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 9:06 p.m.

In Response To: Got Variance? (Timothy Chow)

Would a simple position like this one be sufficient for testing variance calculations?

2a-2a/2. Blue on roll, cube decision

White60


 ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '5X

 ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '5O

Blue60

Position ID: APgAAAA+AAAAAA Match ID: cAlAAAAAAAAA

Seed Trials D/T Eq SD 95% CI
100001 36 .4775 .0491 .0962
72 .5716 .0396 .0776
144 .5805 .0268 .0525
288 .5833 .0196 .0384
576 .5839 .0137 .0268
1152 .5766 .0100 .0196

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn., Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 100001 and quasi-random dice, Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class], keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

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