Seems a bit strange to me that after 10k the plays in my rollout are +/- .003 whereas your 31k rollout is +/- .002. From what I've noticed through all my dmp rollouts of opening rolls/replies is that after 5k plays are +/- .004, after 10k +/- .003, perhaps it really takes that long to grind down the last bits of variance. I normally don't extend my own rollouts past 20k for dmp because the variance is so low I have the answer I need.
         
    
         
 |  is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162 | | 1 point match | pip: 167
score: 0
 is Player 1 |
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| XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:1:10 |
| to play 54 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/15 | eq: -0.058 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.08% (G:13.40% B:1.69%)
52.92% (G:18.23% B:2.23%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (-0.061...-0.055)
Duration: 8 hours 50 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/8 | eq: -0.061 (-0.002) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.97% (G:14.63% B:1.77%)
53.03% (G:18.05% B:2.29%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (-0.064...-0.058)
Duration: 7 hours 03 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/20 6/1* | eq: -0.062 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.89% (G:15.13% B:1.55%)
53.11% (G:18.75% B:2.66%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (-0.065...-0.059)
Duration: 8 hours 16 minutes |
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| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
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