This won't be finished til Monday so I thought I'd update now. Anyhow, it seems that the correct play in matches will likely depend on relative gammon costs and values.
1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 6/3* | eq: -0.119 |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.41% (G:12.03% B:0.58%) 52.59% (G:14.89% B:0.88%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.123...-0.115) Duration: 2 days 10 hours 46 minutes |
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2. | Rollout2 | 13/9 6/3* | eq: -0.121 (-0.002) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.56% (G:13.68% B:0.74%) 52.44% (G:16.61% B:1.32%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.125...-0.117) Duration: 2 days 09 hours 14 minutes |
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3. | 5 ply | 24/21 24/20 | eq: -0.154 (-0.035) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.61% (G:10.23% B:0.43%) 53.39% (G:13.86% B:0.51%) | |
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4. | 5 ply | 24/20 13/10 | eq: -0.170 (-0.051) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.10% (G:10.89% B:0.42%) 53.90% (G:14.37% B:0.68%) | |
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1 33218 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 73312833 Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
2 33220 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 73312833 Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
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