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XG Rollout of Opening 64 at Gammon Save

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Friday, 30 July 2010, at 12:05 p.m.

Stick's site has a GNU rollout result that puts S over R by 0.0011 for opening 64 at gammon save. I plan to extend the rollout below to 20K, but I feel I already know all I will ever know on the topic: the two plays are so close that we should consider them tied. Spltting would be better against a weaker opponent.

Has anyone done XG rollouts of the following opening rolls at score?

62 at GG, 63 at DMP, 63 at GS, 51 at DMP and GG, 41 at GG





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 167
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:46:1:0:1:2:10
to play 46

1.Rollout124/14eq: -0.275
Player:
Opponent:
50.95% (G:16.66% B:2.28%)
49.05% (G:14.71% B:1.16%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.279...-0.271)
Duration: 3 hours 13 minutes
2.Rollout224/18 13/9eq: -0.276 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
50.58% (G:17.72% B:2.56%)
49.42% (G:14.40% B:1.51%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.280...-0.272)
Duration: 3 hours 24 minutes
1 10933 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 10934 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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