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Longer Rollouts + Other MET RO

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 3 August 2010, at 4:35 a.m.

In Response To: 3ply RO Posted of Double and Redouble (Stick)

The first rollout is using the R-K MET, the 2nd using G11. As always, cube by .020 if you're lucky ... if you aren't lucky you make big errors or blunders out of the clear blue sky. I still don't cube this or anything like it unless I have tangible pass equity. Second rollout using G11 it becomes an even smaller cube per usual. Second rollout lost, was a cube by ~.008 after 5k.





is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 149
11 point match
pip: 139
score: 8

is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBBC----AdCa--d-e---AA-:0:0:1:00:8:5:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 70.58% (G: 36.54% B: 1.72%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.42% (G: 5.48% B: 0.32%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.82% (G: 37.45% B: 3.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.18% (G: 5.44% B: 0.55%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.804
Double:+1.353
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.816 (-0.021)
Double/Take:+0.836
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.164)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 27626356
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.007 (+0.809...+0.822)
Confidence Double: ± 0.010 (+0.826...+0.846)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 36 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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