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42P-21S-65R-54? (from OLM) Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 11 December 2006, at 1:27 p.m.

If you remember this from the OLM the Readers had the 5-4 to play here. You played two down, 13/8 13/9. Snowie thinks it best to try to save your back checker now while leaving a pure double shot. Given your huge racing lead this is probably the way to go.

Money Game
158
137
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/15 0.126
0.6% 11.1% 55.0% 45.0% 12.9% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: 0.161
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.084 ±0.006, - live cube: 0.161 ±0.011. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 188143 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
2 R 13/8 13/9 0.118 (-0.007)
0.8% 15.7% 53.1% 46.9% 13.4% 0.5%
Live cube rollout: 0.131
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.088 ±0.006, - live cube: 0.131 ±0.012. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 179738 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.

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