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31P-32Z-Cube at -3-2

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 15 October 2010, at 5:26 a.m.

I just realized I forgot to post this for Paul in the London videos thread. Hopefully you watched the video because Paul was very adamant about doubling here, pushed even further because OtB the person didn't double and proceeded to roll nickels and lose his market by a mile. I know it's a cube, Paul knows it's a cube, the question is, does Paul know not to cube against 99%+ of his competition?

is Player 1

score: 5
pip: 162
7 point match
pip: 163
score: 4

is Player 2
XGID=-a-a-BD-B---dE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:4:5:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 58.15% (G: 18.84% B: 2.72%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.85% (G: 12.52% B: 1.46%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 58.18% (G: 19.50% B: 4.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.82% (G: 13.18% B: 1.66%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.250
Double:+0.656
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.631 (-0.025)
Double/Take:+0.656
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.344)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 24983242
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.011 (+0.620...+0.642)
Confidence Double: ± 0.012 (+0.644...+0.669)
Double Decision confidence: 99.9%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 3 hours 48 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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