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51S-43S at GS

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 18 October 2010, at 3:40 a.m.

In this post, I listed some money and gammon save data for positions in which splitting and hitting on the 2pt or 1pt with X is an option.

I'm adding to that by posting a GnuBG rollout below. It was sent to me with only the S and U plays (currently in second and third place). I added X, D and Z. The result now closely agrees with David's XG 3-ply rollout of s[X S4 U7 Z17 D25] <31**20 15.

Nack


2O ' ' ' '5X '4X ' ' '5O

1X1X ' ' '5O '3O ' ' '4X

51S-43 s[X S3 U6 D16 Z17] /15**5*


# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/21 6/2* -0.3585
45.52 16.35 2.25- 54.48 13.45 1.94 -0.3585 -0.3585
0.07 0.18 0.09- 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.0019 0.0019
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814703163 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/20 13/10 -0.3613 ( -0.0028)
45.75 16.71 1.73- 54.25 13.81 1.14 -0.3613 -0.3613
0.07 0.15 0.07- 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.0018 0.0018
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814703163 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 24/21 24/20 -0.3644 ( -0.0059)
46.55 17.08 1.80- 53.45 14.77 1.06 -0.3644 -0.3644
0.07 0.16 0.07- 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.0018 0.0018
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814703163 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 13/10 13/9 -0.3748 ( -0.0163)
45.75 18.90 3.15- 54.25 14.49 2.82 -0.3748 -0.3748
0.13 0.31 0.18- 0.13 0.11 0.15 0.0033 0.0033
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814703163 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 24/21 13/9 -0.3758 ( -0.0172)
45.39 17.48 2.82- 54.61 14.18 2.16 -0.3758 -0.3758
0.12 0.30 0.17- 0.12 0.10 0.15 0.0030 0.0030
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814703163 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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