[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Interpreting Cubeless #'s

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Wednesday, 27 October 2010, at 7:21 a.m.

A few days ago, after seeing results of opening 51 rollout, and the discusion of gammon rates that followed, I asked myself a question: how do we actually know if the gammon rate after spliting play is higher? Let me show you what I mean:

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 5
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 6
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=------A-------------a-----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 78.47% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.53% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.569
Double:+1.139
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.500 (-0.500)
Double/Take:+1.000
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Cubeless winning percentage is 78.5 , but cubefull is 75, or 100 if black drops. This position is simple of course, and does not require too much effort to analyze. But how can I make sense of an opening rollout? Sure, if I played position arising after opening 51 to the end I would win more gammons after spliting -- acording to the rollout-- , but half of the time game will be over before that. What do you think?

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.