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Adjusted match equity

Posted By: Dimitar Draganov
Date: Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 1:30 p.m.

I'm interested in calculating match equity based on popular MET but adjusting this at every score with player favorite chance before match is started based on rating difference

( 1 / ( 1 + 10^( -difference * SQRT( match length ) / 2000 ) ) )

For example a player is 60% favorite before match is stared and at certain point in the match MET table gives 30% win chance so I want to adjust this 30% based on 60% match favorite. Any ideas ?

Messages In This Thread

• Adjusted match equity
  Dimitar Draganov -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 1:30 p.m.
  • Adjusted match equity
    Fabrice Liardet -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 3:34 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      Dimitar Draganov -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 4:01 p.m.
      • Adjusted match equity
        Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 8:55 a.m.
  • Adjusted match equity
    Petter Bengtsson -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 4:45 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      higonefive -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 5:00 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 2:02 p.m.
      • Adjusted match equity
        Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 19 November 2010, at 11:16 p.m.
  • Adjusted match equity
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 6:05 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      Dimitar Draganov -- Tuesday, 16 November 2010, at 7:13 p.m.
    • Adjusted match equity
      Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 8:58 a.m.
  • Adjusted match equity
    Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 18 November 2010, at 2:52 p.m.