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What is the luckiest game you ever won?

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Saturday, 29 January 2011, at 9:28 a.m.

This came up today in a chouette. In order to win this he needs to throw 55 or 66 on the first shake, then 44 or better on the second, and 33 or better on the third. Moreover, his opponent cannot throw any doubles. The probability of such event is 1/18*1/12*1/9*5/6*5/6 =25/69984 = 0.00035722 or 0.035722% He threw 55, 44, 55 to win 16 points.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 6
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 43
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-B-CCD-----------------ad-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 0.04% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 99.96% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:-0.999
Redouble:-1.999
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:-0.999
Redouble/Take:-2.000 (-1.001)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+1.999)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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