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Four Rollout Results: 41$-33 for $, DMP, GG, GS

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 14 February 2011, at 12:26 a.m.

Young Joe Sylvester - far ahead of his time, with an IQ several dozen points higher than mine - was arguably the most talented and the best match player from 1985 to 1995. Back then, he spoke of "steering" games toward certain kinds of positions, depending on the match score.

I hope no one thinks I am bragging, but I remember stating in the early 1990s that I did not believe Sly Joevester's wacky theory that the best play might be dependent on the score."If it's the right play, it's the right play, irregardlessly of the score."

In view of the four rollout results posted below, I am beginning to reconsider my long held view. Anyone wanting these XG files for any reason can send me an e-mail.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---dE--ac-da---B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
to play 33

1.Rollout124/21(2) 8/5(2)eq: +0.173
Player:
Opponent:		 53.07% (G:15.95% B:0.68%)
46.93% (G:10.11% B:0.44%)		Conf: 0.008 (+0.165...+0.181)
Duration: 5 hours 44 minutes
2.Rollout124/21(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.168 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		 53.52% (G:14.52% B:0.64%)
46.48% (G:10.02% B:0.42%)		Conf: 0.008 (+0.160...+0.176)
Duration: 5 hours 46 minutes
3.Rollout124/21(2) 13/10(2)eq: +0.156 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		 53.30% (G:13.99% B:0.58%)
46.70% (G:10.08% B:0.42%)		Conf: 0.007 (+0.149...+0.163)
Duration: 6 hours 03 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
1 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---dE--ac-da---B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:1:10
to play 33

1.Rollout124/21(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.067
Player:
Opponent:		 53.35% (G:17.17% B:1.98%)
46.65% (G:12.52% B:1.05%)		Conf: 0.003 (+0.064...+0.070)
Duration: 8 hours 02 minutes
2.Rollout124/21(2) 13/10(2)eq: +0.065 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		 53.27% (G:16.74% B:1.64%)
46.73% (G:12.33% B:1.12%)		Conf: 0.003 (+0.062...+0.068)
Duration: 8 hours 28 minutes
3.Rollout124/21(2) 8/5(2)eq: +0.061 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		 53.03% (G:18.74% B:1.97%)
46.97% (G:12.46% B:1.06%)		Conf: 0.003 (+0.058...+0.064)
Duration: 8 hours 01 minute
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 162
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---dE--ac-da---B-:0:0:1:33:0:1:1:2:10
to play 33

1.Rollout18/5(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.412
Player:
Opponent:		 52.41% (G:18.19% B:2.60%)
47.59% (G:16.93% B:2.59%)		Conf: 0.009 (+0.403...+0.421)
Duration: 1 hour 43 minutes
2.Rollout124/21(2) 8/5(2)eq: +0.396 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		 53.58% (G:16.21% B:1.90%)
46.42% (G:13.97% B:1.23%)		Conf: 0.008 (+0.388...+0.404)
Duration: 1 hour 46 minutes
3.Rollout124/21(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.370 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		 53.78% (G:14.71% B:1.59%)
46.22% (G:13.28% B:1.19%)		Conf: 0.007 (+0.363...+0.377)
Duration: 1 hour 48 minutes
4.Rollout124/21(2) 13/10(2)eq: +0.358 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		 53.63% (G:14.25% B:1.58%)
46.37% (G:13.06% B:1.14%)		Conf: 0.008 (+0.350...+0.366)
Duration: 1 hour 50 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---dE--ac-da---B-:0:0:1:33:1:0:1:2:10
to play 33

1.Rollout124/21(2) 6/3(2)eq: -0.132
Player:
Opponent:		 53.02% (G:17.41% B:2.26%)
46.98% (G:9.63% B:0.88%)		Conf: 0.004 (-0.136...-0.128)
Duration: 7 hours 08 minutes
2.Rollout124/21(2) 8/5(2)eq: -0.134 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		 52.50% (G:18.41% B:1.91%)
47.50% (G:9.18% B:0.76%)		Conf: 0.004 (-0.138...-0.130)
Duration: 6 hours 59 minutes
3.Rollout124/21(2) 13/10(2)eq: -0.136 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		 52.56% (G:17.70% B:1.92%)
47.44% (G:9.37% B:0.85%)		Conf: 0.004 (-0.140...-0.132)
Duration: 7 hours 35 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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