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Variant of OLM 02/14/11

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 17 February 2011, at 4:36 p.m.

I was a little surprised at the magnitude of the difference between the two plays in Jason's OLM Mo 02/14/11 rollout. In the variant below, the balance has been tipped towards paying later, and the two plays are essentially tied.





White is Player 2

score: 9
pip: 110
15 point match
pip: 60
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-AbCCDC--------a-a-cbbbb--:1:-1:1:62:1:9:0:15:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout16/0ff 5/3eq: +0.949
Player:
Opponent:
91.51% (G:11.61% B:0.19%)
8.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf: ± 0.001 (+0.948...+0.950)
Duration: 4 hours 21 minutes
2.Rollout16/0ff 3/1eq: +0.945 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
90.70% (G:12.68% B:0.20%)
9.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.943...+0.947)
Duration: 3 hours 29 minutes
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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