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It is a take. Could it be a drop?

Posted By: DJansen
Date: Thursday, 3 March 2011, at 2:46 p.m.

Would you consider a drop on this one as a shark? How much skills difference does it need?

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 79
3 point match
pip: 127
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=--BABCC------A--c-bcAcbBb-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:3:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 74,28% (G: 27,51% B: 1,84%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25,72% (G: 1,58% B: 0,10%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73,61% (G: 35,75% B: 1,66%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26,39% (G: 1,47% B: 0,05%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0,742
Redouble:+0,940
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0,899 (-0,027)
Redouble/Take:+0,926
Redouble/Drop:+1,000 (+0,074)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
216 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0,018 (+0,881...+0,917)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0,025 (+0,902...+0,951)
Double Decision confidence: 95,8%
Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
Duration: 3 minutes 18 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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