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Data for opening 41-d

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 8 April 2011, at 8:06 p.m.

Neil means that he expects in his pending XG2 4-ply rollut, that 41$ at dmp will both be better than S and it will win more than 50% of the games.

Unfortunately, the 41-d rollout of [S $7.2] /31 on this site (that you referenced) is corrupt.

Here are non-corrupt rollouts for opening 41-d:

    d[$ S3.1] /31 (same seed as above)
    d[$ S1.1 U18] /31
    d[S $2.5] /7 (only)
    d[$ S3 U26] <31*5
    d[$ S5] <15
    d[$ 3] "<101

The only rollout supporting S (see above) is shorthanded (only 7k trials).

After Neil has completed and posted his 41-d rollout, I'll (try to remember to) compile the winning percentages that I have for 21$, 41$ and 51$ at dmp in various rollouts. They haven't all backed the opening player as the favorite.

Nack

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