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21$-MISS-66

Posted By: Mochy
Date: Friday, 29 April 2011, at 12:09 p.m.

Recently I studied 21$-MISS-66 variations and found that most of the time 24/18 13/7(2) 11/5 is correct.

I found two exceptions and this is one of them.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 164
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b---AD-C--AdDa--c-da---B-:0:0:1:66:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 66

1.XG Roller+24/18(2) 13/7 11/5eq: +0.625
Player:
Opponent:
64.21% (G:19.10% B:1.08%)
35.79% (G:7.51% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller+24/18 13/7(2) 11/5eq: +0.543 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:
62.31% (G:20.37% B:1.51%)
37.69% (G:10.01% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller+24/18(2) 13/7(2)eq: +0.513 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:
62.09% (G:16.60% B:0.78%)
37.91% (G:8.44% B:0.31%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

This is understandable, because you would give him 21(!) hit and cover by playing routinly (24/18 13/7(2) 11/5). Also 6 is really duped with correct play.

However, two positions shown below confuse me.




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 164
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--aAD-C--AdDa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:66:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 66

1.XG Roller+24/18(2) 13/7 11/5eq: +0.519
Player:
Opponent:
62.14% (G:17.84% B:0.74%)
37.86% (G:7.26% B:0.26%)
2.XG Roller+24/18 13/7(2) 11/5eq: +0.512 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
62.31% (G:17.71% B:0.94%)
37.69% (G:8.31% B:0.31%)
3.XG Roller+24/18(2) 11/5 8/2eq: +0.406 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:
60.23% (G:16.03% B:0.60%)
39.77% (G:8.04% B:0.31%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 164
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b---AD-C--AcDaa-c-e----B-:0:0:1:66:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 66

1.XG Roller+24/18 13/7(2) 11/5eq: +0.740
Player:
Opponent:
66.39% (G:22.29% B:1.78%)
33.61% (G:8.80% B:0.29%)
2.XG Roller+24/18(2) 13/7 11/5eq: +0.715 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
66.14% (G:19.21% B:1.19%)
33.86% (G:7.04% B:0.26%)
3.XG Roller+24/18(2) 13/7(2)eq: +0.573 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:
63.33% (G:17.27% B:0.91%)
36.67% (G:8.79% B:0.36%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Why 21$-32S-66 is correct to play 24/18(2) 13/7 11/5 while not in 21$-32D-66? I wouldn't like to expose myself on quadruple shot! I have done a light rollout but the order wasn't overturned.

I would really appreciate your precious opinion.

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