[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Double?

Posted By: RealNick
Date: Monday, 23 May 2011, at 2:39 p.m.

My first instinct was that I was too good here, but if he's gonna take why wouldn't I redouble here? and why is it such a huge error?





White is XG Roller+

score: 0
pip: 133
9 point match
pip: 126
score: 5

Blue is RealNick
XGID=a-Ba-CBCBa--a--aAaabbBbb--:1:1:1:00:5:0:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 81.95% (G:65.67% B:47.59%) 81.72% (G:68.31% B:21.78%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 18.05% (G:3.30% B:0.18%) 18.28% (G:2.99% B:0.65%)
Cubeless Equities +1.232 +1.078
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.235±0.015 (+1.220..+1.251)
Redouble/Take:+0.444 (-0.792)±0.027 (+0.416..+0.471)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.235)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 50.0%
Rollout details
1056 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 24 minutes 49 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.163.beta, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.