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Pure play vs Tactical play (ROLLOUTS after FAN)

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 22 June 2011, at 6:35 p.m.

In Response To: Pure play vs Tactical play (ROLLOUTS after FAN) (Carlo Melzi)

Due to gammon chances Blue gains lots of equity by cubing after a dance after continuing on to the ace pt. Of course he also gains equity by cashing after 6/5. For example with the blots consolidated Blue is more inclined to try to make the prime he needs.




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 105
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 126
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aBCBCB---b------bbbdC-b-:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.Rollout16/5 4/2* eq: +0.2130
Player:
Opponent:		55.63% (G:17.30% B:0.67%)
44.37% (G:14.52% B:0.34%)		Conf.: ±0.0097 (+0.2033...+0.2227) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 25 seconds
2.Rollout14/2* 2/1eq: +0.1798 (-0.0332)
Player:
Opponent:		54.67% (G:16.72% B:0.61%)
45.33% (G:14.25% B:0.36%)		Conf.: ±0.0094 (+0.1705...+0.1892) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 02 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.169.beta

Of course another factor to consider is how likely is White to crash from the ace pt after hitting.

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