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BQ: How do you play the deuce? *** ROLLOUT ***

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 8:00 p.m.

In Response To: BQ: How do you play the deuce? ***4-ply analysis*** (Timothy Chow)

Rollout stopped at JSDs > 4.

The score (after 0 games) is: Eliotpp 0, You 0 (match to 3 points)

Move number 3: You to play 42

Eliotpp	134
You	129
Position ID: 4HszECDguycCEA Match ID: cAlqAAAAAAAE

• You moves 23/21 13/9*

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity		+0.132	(Money: +0.110)
	53.5 14.4 0.4 - 46.5 10.6 0.2
Cubeful equities:
	4-ply cubeful prune
1.	No double	+0.183
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.817
3.	Double, take	-0.146	-0.329
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28.7%)

Alert: bad move ( -0.094)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	13/9*/7	+0.168
			53.6 14.4 2.1 - 46.4 10.1 0.4 +0.128 +0.168 0.2 0.3 0.3 - 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.006 0.014
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			742 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 926325100 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/9* 10/8	+0.085 ( -0.083)
			52.0 13.4 1.6 - 48.0 10.8 0.6 +0.086 +0.085 0.2 0.3 0.3 - 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.006 0.015
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			741 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 926325100 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	R	23/21 13/9*	+0.075 ( -0.094)
			52.3 14.4 1.8 - 47.7 12.4 1.2 +0.075 +0.075 0.2 0.3 0.3 - 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.007 0.016
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			651 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 926325100 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/9* 8/6	+0.201 ( +0.032)
			54.2 14.7 0.3 - 45.8 10.8 0.3
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/9* 6/4	+0.013 ( -0.155)
			50.6 13.5 0.4 - 49.4 15.1 0.6
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	6	2	8/4 6/4	-0.027 ( -0.195)
			49.2 13.4 0.3 - 50.8 12.8 0.4
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• BQ: How do you play the deuce?
  leobueno -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 2:06 a.m.
  • BQ: How do you play the deuce?
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 2:23 a.m.
    • BQ: How do you play the deuce? ***4-ply analysis***
      leobueno -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 5:36 p.m.
      • BQ: How do you play the deuce? ***4-ply analysis***
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 5:53 p.m.
        • BQ: How do you play the deuce? *** ROLLOUT ***
          leobueno -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 8:00 p.m.
          • BQ: How do you play the deuce? *** ROLLOUT ***
            Timothy Chow -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 12:32 a.m.