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unusual match

Posted By: Henrik Bukkjaer
Date: Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 12:38 p.m.

In Response To: unusual match (Timothy Chow)

Not considering variance reduction but thinking of CMC's observation.

Doesn't the gap of 2.5 percent tell us something (given enough matches). The bot plays at it's best level and analyze at the same level. It says "I should win x%" but it only wins y%. That difference must be the net worth of what the bot doesn't understand correctly? Why else would there be a difference? The actual result is a fact (again, given enough games) that's the inescapable truth about what happens when "skill/style x" plays "skill/style y". If the bot over evaluates it's own side, then there must be room for improvement!

This could be interesting: See such data broken into different sets, playing different levels of opponents and playing different styles/game types.

Messages In This Thread

• unusual match
  christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 7:11 p.m.
  • unusual match
    Bill Riles -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 7:13 p.m.
  • unusual match
    BenF -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 7:36 p.m.
  • unusual match
    Michael Petch -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 9:37 p.m.
    • unusual match
      christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 10:04 p.m.
      • unusual match
        Michael Petch -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 10:12 p.m.
        • unusual match
          Michael Petch -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 10:13 p.m.
          • unusual match
            christian munk-christensen -- Monday, 11 July 2011, at 7:00 a.m.
            • unusual match
              Timothy Chow -- Monday, 11 July 2011, at 4:43 p.m.
              • unusual match
                Henrik Bukkjaer -- Monday, 11 July 2011, at 10:35 p.m.
                • unusual match
                  Christian Plenz -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 1:02 a.m.
                  • unusual match
                    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 4:25 p.m.
                    • unusual match
                      christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 7:55 p.m.
                      • unusual match
                        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 July 2011, at 1:57 p.m.
                        • unusual match
                          christian munk-christensen -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 8:23 p.m.
                      • unusual match
                        Henrik Bukkjaer -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 12:46 a.m.
                        • unusual match
                          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 1:01 a.m.
                          • unusual match
                            Henrik Bukkjaer -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 12:38 p.m.
                            • unusual match
                              Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 3:01 p.m.
                              • unusual match
                                Henrik Bukkjaer -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 10:07 p.m.
  • unusual match
    Backgame -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 11:55 p.m.
  • unusual match
    Turz -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 11:56 a.m.
    • unusual match
      Henrik Bukkjaer -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 9:54 p.m.
      • unusual match
        Turz -- Wednesday, 13 July 2011, at 11:58 a.m.