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unusual match

Posted By: Henrik Bukkjaer
Date: Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 10:07 p.m.

In Response To: unusual match (Timothy Chow)

Actually I don't care if bot beats CMC or the other way around consistently.

It's the estimate (from analysis) vs. actual result.

Bot plays CMC 10000 games, says (based on the luck-adjusted analysis) that it should have won 5300 games. It won actually 5050 games. Now was it just unlucky? Or was it's estimate wrong (thus room for improvement).

In what sort of games and vs. which opponents do the estimate/analysis get close to actual result and for which ones are the gap big? There you can see which area to improve on!

Also - it could be fun to then analyze CMC play week players, and see if the gap opens up? Maybe CMC performs relatively better vs. weakplayers, compared to the bot?

Messages In This Thread

• unusual match
  christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 7:11 p.m.
  • unusual match
    Bill Riles -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 7:13 p.m.
  • unusual match
    BenF -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 7:36 p.m.
  • unusual match
    Michael Petch -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 9:37 p.m.
    • unusual match
      christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 10:04 p.m.
      • unusual match
        Michael Petch -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 10:12 p.m.
        • unusual match
          Michael Petch -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 10:13 p.m.
          • unusual match
            christian munk-christensen -- Monday, 11 July 2011, at 7:00 a.m.
            • unusual match
              Timothy Chow -- Monday, 11 July 2011, at 4:43 p.m.
              • unusual match
                Henrik Bukkjaer -- Monday, 11 July 2011, at 10:35 p.m.
                • unusual match
                  Christian Plenz -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 1:02 a.m.
                  • unusual match
                    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 4:25 p.m.
                    • unusual match
                      christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 7:55 p.m.
                      • unusual match
                        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 July 2011, at 1:57 p.m.
                        • unusual match
                          christian munk-christensen -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 8:23 p.m.
                      • unusual match
                        Henrik Bukkjaer -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 12:46 a.m.
                        • unusual match
                          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 1:01 a.m.
                          • unusual match
                            Henrik Bukkjaer -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 12:38 p.m.
                            • unusual match
                              Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 3:01 p.m.
                              • unusual match
                                Henrik Bukkjaer -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 10:07 p.m.
  • unusual match
    Backgame -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 11:55 p.m.
  • unusual match
    Turz -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 11:56 a.m.
    • unusual match
      Henrik Bukkjaer -- Tuesday, 12 July 2011, at 9:54 p.m.
      • unusual match
        Turz -- Wednesday, 13 July 2011, at 11:58 a.m.