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BQ: How do you play the deuce? *** ROLLOUT ***

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 18 July 2011, at 12:32 a.m.

In Response To: BQ: How do you play the deuce? *** ROLLOUT *** (leobueno)

I decided to roll out a couple of variants of Leo's position. Can't say I fully understand all the nuances, but it seems that how sixes play is a significant factor.

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Variant 1:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 134 Money session Jacoby pip: 130 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----ECDaA--A-b-bde----A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.	Rollout1	24/22 13/9*	eq: +0.194
	Player: Opponent: 54.71% (G:14.41% B:0.84%) 45.29% (G:10.96% B:0.48%) Conf: ± 0.013 (+0.181...+0.207) Duration: 3 hours 18 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/9* 9/7	eq: +0.144 (-0.049)
	Player: Opponent: 53.51% (G:13.71% B:0.71%) 46.49% (G:9.39% B:0.35%) Conf: ± 0.014 (+0.130...+0.158) Duration: 2 hours 53 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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Variant 2:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 132 Money session Jacoby pip: 129 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----ECDaA--A--bbde---A--:0:0:1:42:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.	Rollout1	23/21 13/9*	eq: +0.135
	Player: Opponent: 53.16% (G:13.74% B:0.76%) 46.84% (G:11.88% B:0.59%) Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.125...+0.145) Duration: 6 hours 06 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/9* 9/7	eq: +0.088 (-0.046)
	Player: Opponent: 51.82% (G:13.01% B:0.66%) 48.18% (G:9.98% B:0.37%) Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.078...+0.098) Duration: 5 hours 45 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• BQ: How do you play the deuce?
  leobueno -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 2:06 a.m.
  • BQ: How do you play the deuce?
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 2:23 a.m.
    • BQ: How do you play the deuce? ***4-ply analysis***
      leobueno -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 5:36 p.m.
      • BQ: How do you play the deuce? ***4-ply analysis***
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 5:53 p.m.
        • BQ: How do you play the deuce? *** ROLLOUT ***
          leobueno -- Sunday, 10 July 2011, at 8:00 p.m.
          • BQ: How do you play the deuce? *** ROLLOUT ***
            Timothy Chow -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 12:32 a.m.