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Race mania - your opinion is needed

Posted By: Mochy
Date: Monday, 18 July 2011, at 10:44 a.m.

In Response To: Race mania - your opinion is needed (Bob Koca)

I compared two positions below. The first position is an original position and the second position is non-contact position with same pip difference.

I know double's pipcount got smaller so that it favors his winninc chance but even so I could safely say contact favors taker more than 1%.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 78
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 73
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBCDbB----------acbbbc-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.35% (G:0.11% B:0.00%) 78.25% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.65% (G:0.03% B:0.00%) 21.75% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.568 +1.132
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.828 (-0.159)±0.002 (+0.825..+0.830)
Double/Take:+0.987±0.004 (+0.983..+0.991)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.013)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
684 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36983477
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14.1 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 76
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 71
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBCDBb----------acbbbc-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 79.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 20.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.594 +1.188
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.871 (-0.129)±0.001 (+0.870..+0.872)
Double/Take:+1.058 (+0.058)±0.001 (+1.057..+1.060)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
684 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36983477
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 53.7 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

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