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OLM Su 07/17/11

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 18 July 2011, at 6:24 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Su 07/17/11 (Timothy Chow)

I'm saying I wouldn't have hit here. I think the variants where my opponent anchors and I'm unable to trap him off that anchor are much more costly than what I gain from when I close out two checkers. Consider the three positions below that are likely idealized variations and see if you still think in general the risk is worth the gain.

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 78 1 point match pip: 60 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=aBBBCCB--A---------c-fc-b-:0:0:1:12:0:0:0:1:10 Blue to play 12

1. Rollout1 9/6 eq: +0.979 Player: Opponent: 98.94% (G:2.57% B:0.04%) 1.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.978...+0.980) - [%1%] Duration: 6.0 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 80283162 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 83 1 point match pip: 65 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-bBCDCB--A-----------ddbc-:0:0:1:12:0:0:0:1:10 Blue to play 12

1. Rollout1 9/6 eq: +0.914 Player: Opponent: 95.70% (G:13.11% B:0.56%) 4.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.913...+0.915) - [%1%] Duration: 35.2 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33853854 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 97 1 point match pip: 60 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=bBBBCCB--A---------b-fc-b-:0:0:1:12:0:0:0:1:10 Blue to play 12

1. Rollout1 9/6 eq: +0.983 Player: Opponent: 99.17% (G:35.92% B:0.58%) 0.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.982...+0.984) - [%1%] Duration: 12.9 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 55493872 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Su 07/17/11
  Jason Lee -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 4:42 a.m.
  • OLM Su 07/17/11
    misja -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 9:58 a.m.
  • OLM Su 07/17/11
    Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 10:42 a.m.
  • OLM Su 07/17/11
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 2:22 p.m.
    • OLM Su 07/17/11
      Stick -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 2:35 p.m.
      • OLM Su 07/17/11
        Timothy Chow -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 4:49 p.m.
        • OLM Su 07/17/11
          Stick -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 6:24 p.m.
          • OLM Su 07/17/11
            Timothy Chow -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 10:31 p.m.
      • OLM Su 07/17/11
        Higonefive -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 4:53 p.m.
  • OLM Su 07/17/11
    neilkaz -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 2:51 p.m.
  • OLM Su 07/17/11
    Higonefive -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 4:19 p.m.
  • OLM Su 07/17/11
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 4:46 p.m.
  • OLM Su 07/17/11
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 18 July 2011, at 8:11 p.m.
  • OLM Su 07/17/11
    Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 19 July 2011, at 1:08 a.m.
  • OLM Su 07/17/11 ROLLOUT
    Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 19 July 2011, at 11:20 a.m.