[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 19 July 2011, at 3:40 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)

Clearly a double ATS per the Woolsey rule. Lots of humans would give this one up but the leader has enough chances to take here. He doesn't get g'd very often and White rates to leave several indirects and maybe even a direct shot as he tries to clear his outfield points and fill in his inner board gaps. If White is able to bring everyone in safely, Black might win an old-fashioned ace pt game.

is Player 2

score: 11
pip: 148
13 point match
pip: 121
score: 4

is Player 1
XGID=-bB---DCB---bB-Bbbacc-----:0:0:1:00:4:11:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.43% (G:11.45% B:0.57%) 70.78% (G:11.04% B:0.47%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.57% (G:5.20% B:0.26%) 29.22% (G:4.86% B:0.43%)
Cubeless Equities +0.441 +0.959
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.875 (-0.084)±0.007 (+0.869..+0.882)
Double/Take:+0.959±0.011 (+0.948..+0.971)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.041)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 15 minutes 04 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.