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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: mtuhtan In Response To: 31P-31P-51S-62 vs 31P-31P-52S-62 (mtuhtan)
Date: Monday, 25 July 2011, at 9:10 p.m.
31P-31P-51S-62:
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 157Unlimited Game pip: 163
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-aa--BD-B---dE---c-db---B-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10 Blue to play 62
1. Rollout1 13/5 eq: -0,115
Player:
Opponent:47,02% (G:14,64% B:0,54%)
52,98% (G:15,88% B:0,78%)Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,118...-0,111) - [100,0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 50 seconds2. Rollout1 24/18 13/11 eq: -0,146 (-0,031)
Player:
Opponent:47,48% (G:12,23% B:0,56%)
52,52% (G:17,31% B:0,73%)Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,149...-0,143) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 35 seconds3. Rollout1 24/16 eq: -0,169 (-0,055)
Player:
Opponent:46,88% (G:11,36% B:0,47%)
53,12% (G:16,53% B:0,60%)Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,173...-0,166) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 31 seconds1 Truncated at 9 moves using 4-ply.
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 39458918
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
31P-31P-52S-62:
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 156Unlimited Game pip: 163
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-a-a-BD-B---dE---c-db---B-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10 Blue to play 62
1. Rollout1 24/18 13/11 eq: -0,166
Player:
Opponent:47,06% (G:11,97% B:0,54%)
52,94% (G:17,91% B:0,81%)Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,170...-0,163) - [100,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 36 seconds2. Rollout1 24/16 eq: -0,202 (-0,036)
Player:
Opponent:46,29% (G:10,18% B:0,40%)
53,71% (G:16,62% B:0,55%)Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,205...-0,198) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 42 seconds3. Rollout1 13/5 eq: -0,214 (-0,048)
Player:
Opponent:44,88% (G:12,30% B:0,40%)
55,12% (G:15,89% B:0,74%)Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,217...-0,210) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 00 second1 Truncated at 9 moves using 4-ply.
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83662077
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
I didn't expect that 64 duplication would swing candidate plays so much, but thanks to Nack, we can see there is more to these position than just duplicating 64.Thanks Nack for the analysis!
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