[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 21 December 2006, at 4:33 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Wednesday Dec. 20th (Stick)

Even though it's nowhere near statistical significance we all know the quiet 14/11 6/5 is better, I was doing the rollout just to show. [there'd be a question as to which ace was better for me, if I did hit, since stacking with 14/13 is so awful I might push 24/23 or 6/5 instead] Continue your normal development, you have a decent head start in this game w/a racing lead, 1 checker back v. my 3 back, a made 5 pt. compared to my made 4 pt. A lot of small advantages, no need to piss it away by hitting here. Readers move 14/11 6/5

Match to 25, White leads 7 to 2
162
153
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 R 14/11 6/5 0.176
0.6% 12.6% 55.0% 45.0% 12.9% 0.7%
Live cube rollout: 0.176
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.096 ±0.025, - live cube: 0.176 ±0.047. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 11441 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
2 R 14/13 6/3* 0.115 (-0.061)
1.3% 14.1% 52.4% 47.6% 14.5% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: 0.094
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.053 ±0.026, - live cube: 0.094 ±0.053. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 10639 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.