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DMP: time for a big play? - RO

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 2:58 a.m.

In Response To: DMP: time for a big play? (Daniel Murphy)

No big plays work here. 13/8 5/1 and hope for a miracle. Which will happen about one time in five.

DMP (White 7, Blue 7 (match to 9). Blue to play 5-4.

White	76
Blue	105
Position ID: c3cDBgBtuwEBGA Match ID: QYkyAXAAOAAE

• Blue moves 13/8 5/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	13/8 5/1	-0.578
			0.211 0.021 0.000 - 0.789 0.141 0.004 -0.578 -0.578 0.003 0.004 0.000 - 0.003 0.021 0.002 0.005 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			181 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924713397 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/4	-0.607 ( -0.029)
			0.197 0.019 0.001 - 0.803 0.174 0.008 -0.607 -0.607 0.002 0.004 0.000 - 0.002 0.021 0.005 0.005 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			181 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924713397 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/9 6/1	-0.632 ( -0.054)
			0.184 0.018 0.001 - 0.816 0.177 0.004 -0.632 -0.632 0.002 0.006 0.001 - 0.002 0.023 0.002 0.005 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			180 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924713397 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	6/1 5/1	-0.638 ( -0.060)
			0.181 0.006 0.000 - 0.819 0.248 0.028 -0.638 -0.638 0.003 0.010 0.000 - 0.003 0.021 0.006 0.006 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			180 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924713397 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	R	6/2 6/1	-0.658 ( -0.080)
			0.171 0.013 0.000 - 0.829 0.218 0.021 -0.658 -0.658 0.003 0.010 0.000 - 0.003 0.020 0.005 0.006 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			180 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924713397 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	6	R	23/18 5/1	-0.659 ( -0.081)
			0.170 0.022 0.001 - 0.830 0.429 0.024 -0.659 -0.659 0.003 0.007 0.000 - 0.003 0.025 0.008 0.007 0.007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			180 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924713397 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	7	R	23/14	-0.684 ( -0.106)
			0.158 0.033 0.005 - 0.842 0.378 0.013 -0.684 -0.684 0.003 0.005 0.004 - 0.003 0.030 0.005 0.006 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			180 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924713397 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	8	R	23/18 13/9	-0.690 ( -0.112)
			0.155 0.045 0.007 - 0.845 0.354 0.007 -0.690 -0.690 0.003 0.009 0.005 - 0.003 0.026 0.002 0.006 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			180 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924713397 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• DMP: time for a big play?
  Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 30 July 2011, at 12:28 a.m.
  • DMP: time for a big play?
    Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 30 July 2011, at 6:43 a.m.
  • DMP: time for a big play?
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 30 July 2011, at 6:34 p.m.
  • DMP: time for a big play?
    Stick -- Saturday, 30 July 2011, at 8:59 p.m.
  • DMP: time for a big play? - RO
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 2:58 a.m.