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Nigel Merrigan's formula

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 12:04 p.m.

In Response To: Nigel Merrigan's formula (Timothy Chow)

Tim,

Having regurgitated my shite into a more coherent explanation; somehow, in this position you managed to F it up! If I had written the article with precision and clarity in the first instance, instead of being an incompetent prick, I wouldn't be wasting my time mopping up your drivvle along with my own.

To the position:

In these positions where both sides have outfield checkers and are wastage heavy, its important to verify the wastage. Here, I would apply a Keith comparison and Ward Count. If there is a difference, I would add Lamford into the mix. However, in this position, Both Keith and Ward estimate 1 additional pip (deucept) for white. The APC,s are 43-48 and the PLT is 5. Therefore, 50+(62-5)/(5+5), 5.7*5, 28.5+1.6 = 80.1%. A figure a rollout won't give too much more than 0.5.

Stick,

Don't give up on the formula; its a good formula! I should have spent more time on the write up. In a sense, I've undermined its value. We live and learn I suppose. A little humility is good for the soul.

NBM

Messages In This Thread

• Hit or not Hit?
  Max Levenstein -- Monday, 1 August 2011, at 8:31 p.m.
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    Udo Moerschbach -- Monday, 1 August 2011, at 9:17 p.m.
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      Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 6:46 a.m.
      • Hit or not Hit?
        Stick -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 6:51 a.m.
        • Hit or not Hit?
          Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 6:55 a.m.
          • Hit or not Hit?
            Stick -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 7:04 a.m.
            • Hit or not Hit?
              Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 7:25 a.m.
  • Hit or not Hit?
    Stick -- Monday, 1 August 2011, at 11:44 p.m.
    • Hit or not Hit?
      Kevin Whyte -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 12:06 a.m.
    • Nigel Merrigan's formula
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 12:50 a.m.
      • Nigel Merrigan's formula
        Stick -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 2:20 a.m.
      • Nigel Merrigan's formula
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 3:45 a.m.
      • Nigel Merrigan's formula
        Mr Majestyk -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 12:04 p.m.
        • Nigel Merrigan's formula
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 2:05 p.m.
          • Nigel Merrigan's formula
            Mr Majestyk -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 3:33 p.m.
            • Nigel Merrigan's formula
              Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 4:03 p.m.
              • Nigel Merrigan's formula
                Mr Majestyk -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 6:57 p.m.
                • Nigel Merrigan's formula
                  Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 8:56 p.m.
                  • Nigel Merrigan's formula
                    Mr Majestyk -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 11:50 p.m.
                    • Nigel Merrigan's formula
                      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 3 August 2011, at 3:46 a.m.
      • Nigel Merrigan's formula
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 4:46 p.m.
    • Hit or not Hit?
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 3:49 a.m.
      • Hit or not Hit?
        Stick -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 4:21 a.m.
  • Hit or not Hit?
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 3:05 a.m.
  • Hit or not Hit? 3 similar positions
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 3:10 a.m.
  • Hit or not Hit?
    falafel -- Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 3:15 p.m.