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Nigel Merrigan's formula

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Tuesday, 2 August 2011, at 4:46 p.m.

In Response To: Nigel Merrigan's formula (Timothy Chow)

"Blue's 61 seems like an average roll, one pip short of the average of 8 pips but getting two crossovers, so I don't think it changes Blue's winning chances much"

Two comments

i) If you are winning a race then an average roll in terms of pips is an above average roll for you. It increases your winning chances.

ii) This is more a rolls position than a pips position so the 61 getting two crossovers makes it much better than an average roll.

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