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Which plan? ***RO****

Posted By: Kevin Whyte
Date: Thursday, 4 August 2011, at 12:09 a.m.

In Response To: Which plan? (Kevin Whyte)

Here's the rollout. On the one hand, it's nice to see my move come out tied. On the other hand, I could have thought a lot less and played a move just as good by just making the 5-point ( with much less risk it'd turn out to be awful too). Even now, I'm reasonably confident that 11/5 8/5 can't be much worse, but it wouldn't surprise me that much if another bot decided 24/18 11/8 was.

Move number 3: Red to play 63

Green	139
Red	139
Position ID: jM+DASKMz8gDIA Match ID: cAkPAAAAAAAA

• Red moves 24/18 11/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	24/18 11/8	+0.115
�			0.532 0.099 0.004 - 0.468 0.122 0.003 +0.041 +0.115 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.008	�
�			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.	�
�			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924382547 and quasi-random dice	�
�			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]	�
�			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16	�
�			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.	�
�			Cube: 2-ply cubeful	�
�	2	R	11/5 8/5	+0.115 ( -0.000)
�			0.530 0.161 0.006 - 0.470 0.129 0.004 +0.095 +0.115 0.001 0.002 0.001 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.009	�
�			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.	�
�			1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924382547 and quasi-random dice	�
�			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]	�
�			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16	�
�			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.	�
�			Cube: 2-ply cubeful	�
�	3	R	24/15	+0.107 ( -0.008)
�			0.534 0.109 0.005 - 0.466 0.131 0.005 +0.046 +0.107 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.003 0.008	�
�			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.	�
�			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924382547 and quasi-random dice	�
�			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]	�
�			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16	�
�			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.	�
�			Cube: 2-ply cubeful	�
�	4	R	13/4*	+0.043 ( -0.072)
�			0.515 0.165 0.007 - 0.485 0.168 0.009 +0.025 +0.043 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.010	�
�			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.	�
�			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 924382547 and quasi-random dice	�
�			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]	�

Messages In This Thread

• Which plan?
  Kevin Whyte -- Monday, 1 August 2011, at 11:35 p.m.
  • Which plan?
    Stick -- Monday, 1 August 2011, at 11:46 p.m.
    • Which plan?
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 3 August 2011, at 1:57 a.m.
  • Which plan?
    Udo Moerschbach -- Wednesday, 3 August 2011, at 1:37 a.m.
  • Which plan?
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 3 August 2011, at 2:44 a.m.
  • Which plan?
    Kevin Whyte -- Wednesday, 3 August 2011, at 3:24 a.m.
    • Which plan? ***RO****
      Kevin Whyte -- Thursday, 4 August 2011, at 12:09 a.m.
      • GNU is a donkey
        Stick -- Thursday, 4 August 2011, at 7:39 a.m.
        • GNU is a donkey
          Kevin Whyte -- Thursday, 4 August 2011, at 7:38 p.m.
          • GNU is a donkey
            Stick -- Thursday, 4 August 2011, at 8:01 p.m.
        • 1k is a donkey
          Nack Ballard -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 7:17 p.m.
          • 1k is a donkey - Extended Rollouts - Ummm?
            Stick -- Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 11:23 p.m.
            • 1k is a donkey - Extended Rollouts - Ummm?
              Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 11:43 p.m.
              • 1k is a donkey - Extended Rollouts - Ummm?
                Stick -- Monday, 8 August 2011, at 12:00 a.m.
                • 1k is a donkey - Extended Rollouts - Ummm?
                  Stick -- Monday, 8 August 2011, at 1:18 a.m.
                  • 1k is a donkey - Extended Rollouts - Ummm?
                    Kevin Whyte -- Wednesday, 10 August 2011, at 3:27 p.m.
            • Data summary
              Nack Ballard -- Monday, 8 August 2011, at 7:39 a.m.
              • Typo correction
                Nack Ballard -- Monday, 8 August 2011, at 4:46 p.m.
  • Nactation
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 3 August 2011, at 2:10 p.m.
    • Nactation
      Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 4 August 2011, at 12:05 a.m.
      • Nactation
        Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 4 August 2011, at 5:15 p.m.
        • Nactation
          Nack Ballard -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 7:14 p.m.
  • 52S-41T-55P-41H-F-65C-F-43S-31U-63
    Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 3 August 2011, at 11:23 p.m.
    • 52S-41T-55P-41H-F-65C-F-43S-31U-63
      Stick -- Thursday, 4 August 2011, at 12:08 a.m.
      • 52S-41T-55P-41H-F-65C-F-43S-31U-63
        Nack Ballard -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 7:29 p.m.