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XG Rolloutt FWIW

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 3:34 p.m.

In Response To: Playing against the last two checkers (Neil Robins)

An XG rollout isn't ideal here since XG is incapable of identifying the top plays on any ply with any search interval. Basically anyway it confirms how GNU evaluates it. The top five plays are the five hitting loose on the ace point plays and switching from the six point to the ace point is the worst idea. XGR+ played the Stickite play.





White is Neil

score: 6
pip: 38
7 point match
pip: 150
score: 4

Blue is XG Roller+
XGID=--a-a-a-aa--a-A----bcbb-A-:1:1:-1:55:6:4:0:7:10
Blue to play 55
1.Rollout119/14 16/11* 11/1* eq: +0.224
Player:
Opponent:
61.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.79% (G:5.88% B:3.84%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.221...+0.227) - [90.4%]
Duration: 32 minutes 58 seconds
2.Rollout116/11* 13/8 11/1* eq: +0.221 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
61.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.96% (G:5.96% B:4.07%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.218...+0.224) - [7.5%]
Duration: 31 minutes 25 seconds
3.Rollout117/12 16/11* 11/1* eq: +0.220 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
60.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.02% (G:6.15% B:3.97%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.216...+0.223) - [2.1%]
Duration: 31 minutes 10 seconds
4.Rollout221/11* 11/1* eq: +0.210 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
60.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.51% (G:6.65% B:4.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.203...+0.217) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 22 seconds
5.Rollout223/18 16/11* 11/1* eq: +0.209 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
60.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.57% (G:6.48% B:3.89%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.202...+0.215) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 43 seconds
6.Rollout219/14 17/12 16/11* 11/6eq: +0.209 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
60.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.57% (G:6.46% B:4.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.202...+0.215) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 23 seconds
7.Rollout219/14 16/11* 13/8 11/6eq: +0.208 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
60.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.59% (G:6.32% B:4.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.202...+0.214) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 55 seconds
8.Rollout223/18 19/14 16/11* 11/6eq: +0.207 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:
60.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.67% (G:6.45% B:3.87%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.200...+0.213) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 42 seconds
9.Rollout219/4 16/11* eq: +0.205 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
60.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.74% (G:6.85% B:4.48%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.198...+0.212) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 15 seconds
10.*Rollout117/7 16/11* 11/6eq: +0.204 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
60.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.79% (G:6.64% B:4.40%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.201...+0.208) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 25 seconds
11.Rollout321/11* 16/11 11/6eq: +0.203 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
60.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.87% (G:6.68% B:4.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.194...+0.212) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 01 second
12.Rollout219/9 16/11* 11/6eq: +0.202 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
60.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.92% (G:6.33% B:4.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.195...+0.208) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 43 seconds
13.Rollout316/11* 13/3 11/6eq: +0.201 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
60.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.93% (G:6.39% B:3.86%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.192...+0.210) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 37 seconds
14.Rollout219/14 17/7 16/11* eq: +0.201 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
60.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.96% (G:6.97% B:4.55%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.194...+0.207) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 58 seconds
15.Rollout323/18 16/11* 13/3eq: +0.200 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
59.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.01% (G:7.20% B:4.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.190...+0.209) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 56 seconds
16.Rollout321/11* 19/14 11/6eq: +0.199 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
59.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.06% (G:6.38% B:4.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.190...+0.208) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 20 seconds
17.Rollout323/18 17/12 16/11* 11/6eq: +0.195 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
59.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.25% (G:7.07% B:4.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.185...+0.205) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 17 seconds
18.Rollout319/14 16/11* 13/3eq: +0.193 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:
59.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.34% (G:7.10% B:4.55%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.183...+0.203) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 06 seconds
19.Rollout117/12 16/11* 6/1*(2) eq: +0.187 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:
59.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.64% (G:8.24% B:5.53%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.184...+0.191) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 59 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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