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Post-Crawford cube action

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 7:47 p.m.

In Response To: Post-Crawford cube action (David Rockwell)

What is our gammonless TP (we aren't G'd enuf to worry about it)?

Looks like we risk 16.54% to gain 32.26% so about 34% seems close.

We clearly win this race several percent more than 34% so this is a trivial take.

For those that can't do the TP calc or want another method. If we pass we win the match 67.74% of the time. Lets very pessimistically assume we only win the race 36% of the time (clear too low). So by taking, we win 36% matches outright and in the other 64% we win more than half due to the free drop so in total we win more than 68% matches after taking based on this pessimistic assumption of our race chances and elementary math.

Easy take...well easy as long as you think about it and don't fall into the free drop trap here since you can't be G'd.

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