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Rollout - as good as it gets

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 7:07 p.m.

In Response To: Playing against the last two checkers (Neil Robins)

The best rollout I can provide for this position, XGR+ w/a gigantic move filter. XG reports 100% confidence that play A is better than play B though there's still wiggle room for the size of the difference between the plays due to the variance that's left. I'm not going to continue this rollout just to get the variance down, I have other points to prove that need my processing time.

		White is eXtremeGammon score: 6 pip: 38 7 point match pip: 150 score: 4 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBCB----a-A--AA-A-A-A--:1:-1:1:55:4:6:0:7:10
Blue to play 55

1.	Rollout1	17/7 16/11* 11/6	eq: +0.264
	Player: Opponent: 63.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 36.79% (G:4.33% B:2.98%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.253...+0.275) - [100.0%] Duration: 9 hours 41 minutes
2.	Rollout1	17/12 16/11* 6/1*(2)	eq: +0.233 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 61.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 38.36% (G:5.71% B:3.87%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.218...+0.248) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 hours 01 minute
1 540 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 56472118 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+ Search interval: Gigantic

Messages In This Thread

• Playing against the last two checkers
  Neil Robins -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 11:26 a.m.
  • Playing against the last two checkers
    Stick -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 11:35 a.m.
    • Playing against the last two checkers
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 5:59 p.m.
      • Playing against the last two checkers
        Stick -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 7:48 p.m.
  • Playing against the last two checkers
    Udo Moerschbach -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 1:35 p.m.
    • Playing against the last two checkers
      Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 2:51 p.m.
      • Playing against the last two checkers
        Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 8:26 p.m.
        • Playing against the last two checkers
          Stick -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 8:31 p.m.
          • Playing against the last two checkers
            Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 8:37 p.m.
            • Playing against the last two checkers
              Stick -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 8:40 p.m.
              • Playing against the last two checkers
                Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 8:41 p.m.
                • Playing against the last two checkers
                  Stick -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 8:48 p.m.
                  • Playing against the last two checkers
                    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 9:50 p.m.
                  • Playing against the last two checkers
                    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 10:11 p.m.
                    • Playing against the last two checkers
                      Stick -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 10:35 p.m.
                      • Playing against the last two checkers
                        Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 11:04 p.m.
                  • Playing against the last two checkers
                    Bob Koca -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 4:05 a.m.
                    • Playing against the last two checkers
                      Stick -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 4:08 a.m.
                • Rollouts
                  Stick -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 12:46 a.m.
                  • Rollouts
                    Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 1:42 a.m.
                  • Rollouts
                    Bob Koca -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 4:02 a.m.
                    • Rollouts
                      Stick -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 4:09 a.m.
        • Playing against the last two checkers
          Udo Moerschbach -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 9:46 p.m.
          • Playing against the last two checkers - some BOT info
            Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 5 August 2011, at 10:48 p.m.
            • Playing against the last two checkers - some BOT info
              Udo Moerschbach -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 12:41 a.m.
              • Playing against the last two checkers - some BOT info
                Neil Robins -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 2:16 a.m.
                • Playing against the last two checkers - some BOT info
                  neilkaz -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 3:31 a.m.
  • XG Rolloutt FWIW
    Neil Robins -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 3:34 p.m.
    • XG Rolloutt FWIW
      Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 4:54 p.m.
      • XG Rolloutt FWIW
        christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 3:28 p.m.
  • Rollout - as good as it gets
    Stick -- Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 7:07 p.m.
    • Rollout - as good as it gets
      Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 7:35 p.m.
      • Rollout - as good as it gets
        Stick -- Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 7:46 p.m.
        • Rollout - as good as it gets
          Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 7:52 p.m.
          • Rollout - as good as it gets
            Stick -- Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 7:54 p.m.
            • Rollout - as good as it gets
              Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 7 August 2011, at 8:05 p.m.
    • Rollout - as good as it gets - added play
      Stick -- Monday, 8 August 2011, at 5:19 p.m.
      • Rollout - as good as it gets - added play
        Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 8 August 2011, at 6:03 p.m.
        • Rollout - as good as it gets - added play
          Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 8 August 2011, at 11:04 p.m.
          • Rollout - as good as it gets - added play
            Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 9 August 2011, at 7:24 a.m.