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BQ: Just make the 4-point? (some cube comments)

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 13 August 2011, at 6:44 p.m.

In Response To: BQ: Just make the 4-point? (some cube comments) (Kevin Whyte)

Your procedure is great, trying to estimate the main line sequences after either play, before proceeding to bot help. You might want to use Gnubg's Temperature Map feature also -- analyze your 3-2 play, highlight the two plays, and hit the Temp. Map. button.

If white misses, say with 54 played 22/13,

If white hits, it's harder to say what is typical. Maybe 61 13/7*,8/7?

TM will show you that 5-4 is White's very best nonhitting number, and 6-1 is White's 4th best hitting number (only 6-6, 3-3, and 1-1 are better).

[after 18/13 ]if white rolls a typical 8 pips it's 132 to 145 which seems like a borderline pass [in a noncontact race]

No, a borderline pass would be more like a 132-147 lead in a noncontact race, so White would have an easy take with his 22-point anchor, your empty 4, 8 and 9 points, and your midpoint stack. And likewise, even if White rolls a less than average number.

You've considered so many things but you might want to consider one more thing that hasn't been mentioned: should Blue have doubled before rolling the 3-2?

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