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BQ: Just make the 4-point? ** RO**

Posted By: Kevin Whyte
Date: Sunday, 14 August 2011, at 4:20 p.m.

In Response To: BQ: Just make the 4-point? (Kevin Whyte)

Here's a rollout. As expected 8/4,6/4 wins (and loses) more gammons. I thought 18/13 would win more overall, and it does, but not enough to be significant. I'd still bet on 18/13 at DMP (and GS).

not kwhyte153


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kwhyte137

Position ID: sM+DACZwd+CDAA Match ID: cIkJAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 7/4 6/4 +0.794
Â
0.7040.1480.006-0.2960.0640.002 +0.495 +0.794
0.0010.0020.001-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.010
 Â
 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. Â
 1322 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 929268234 and quasi-random dice Â
 Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.96 (min. 1296 games) Â
 Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Â
 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Â
 Cube: 2-ply cubeful Â
 2 R 18/13 +0.746 ( -0.049)
Â
0.7060.0710.002-0.2940.0350.001 +0.450 +0.746
0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.007
 Â
 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. Â
 1322 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 929268234 and quasi-random dice Â
 Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.96 (min. 1296 games) Â
 Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Â
 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Â
 Cube: 2-ply cubeful Â

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