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BGonline.org Forums
Variant
Posted By: Kevin Whyte In Response To: Variant (Stick)
Date: Sunday, 14 August 2011, at 7:41 p.m.
With an even bigger race lead and a less heavy midpoint, 18/13 should win more, I'd think enough more to move way ahead of 32P. On the other hand, gammons would seem to be more likely here too, so maybe pointing and playing for the gammon is right.
I don't think there's any way white can take a cube after 18/13, so that's basically just taking a point. After P, if white misses, it seems too good to double but I can't begin to guess by how much. After a hit blue may still have a double, but I'd think it's a take.
I'm probably wrong on all of this, but I'd say it might be close because of more efficient cubes that follow P, but if we didn't have cube access or at DMP/gs then 18/13 must be way ahead. I'm sure I'd play it for money too, but QF has me second guessing that.
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