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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: christian munk-christensen In Response To: Rollout (Stick)
Date: Monday, 22 August 2011, at 9:06 a.m.
Stick: The rolls we aren't automatically off with if we get the chance for that next turn are [21 31 41 51 61 22 32 42 52 62 43] Ouch, that's 21 rolls and you notice how some of those didn't even get a checker off? It looks like we'll win approximately 2/3rds of those 10 games bringing our total to 6.67 + 2 or 8.67 games. That is just above 24% as our win percentage.
Christian: A quick comment and a question. The comment: 11 leaves 17 missers. The question: 2/3rds of what 10 games? (I also arrive at 24% wins but would like to understand your method a little better)
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