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53P-43 and 52S-53P-53

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 24 August 2011, at 1:25 a.m.

In Response To: 52S-53P-53 Rollout (Dmitriy Obukhov)


2O '2X ' '4X '2X ' ' '5O

2X ' ' ' '5O '3O ' ' '5X

53P-43



1O '2X ' '4X '2X ' ' '4O

2X ' ' ' '5O '4O ' ' '5X

52S-53P-53


On the left, is the standard response position, 53P-43. The data combines to a bot aggregate of say [D=Z U10 S15]a. The key comparison is that U (Up, 24/20 24/21) has a .005 edge over S (Split, 24/20 13/10).

On the right is 52S-53P-53. Playing U (Up, bar/20 24/21) and S (Split, bar/20 13/10) reaches the same positions as playing U and S on the left, except that Blue has played an extra 5 down (13/8). This change skews the distribution in favor of U, thereby widening U's edge over S (from .005) to just under .024 (according to Dmitriy's 5k rollout -- I'd guess that an extension would widen the margin a bit more).

Nack

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